Small turnout in Paris
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Turnout in a Small World
This paper investigates between-voter interactions in a social network model of turnout. It shows that if 1) there is a small probability that voters imitate the behavior of one of their acquaintances, and 2) individuals are closely connected to others in a population (the “smallworld” effect), then a single voting decision may affect dozens of other voters in a “turnout cascade.” If people ten...
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We present a stochastic model of coordination in turnout games. In each period a randomly selected voter receives information about current play through noisy polls and then, based on this information, forms expectations about the current conÞguration of play and chooses a best response. We prove the existence of a unique limiting distribution for the process and show that even in large elector...
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Scholars have recently reworked the traditional calculus of voting model by adding a term for benefits to others. Although the probability that a single vote affects the outcome of an election is quite small, the number of people who enjoy the benefit when the preferred alternative wins is large. As a result, people who care about benefits to others and who think one of the alternatives makes o...
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The youth have long represented an important constituency for electoral mobilization in Africa. Today, as the region faces a growing ‘youth bulge’ that is disproportionately burdened by unand underemployment, capturing the votes of this demographic is becoming more important than ever before. Yet, despite their numerical importance and the historical relevance of generational identities within ...
متن کاملUniversité Paris Diderot — Paris 7
This thesis deals with statistical questions raised by the analysis of highdimensional genomic data for cancer research. In the first part, we study asymptotic properties of multiple testing procedures that aim at controlling the False Discovery Rate (FDR), that is, the expected False Discovery Proportion (FDP) among rejected hypotheses. We develop a versatile formalism to calculate the asympto...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Nature
سال: 1990
ISSN: 0028-0836,1476-4687
DOI: 10.1038/345464b0